In this episode of STRATEGIKON, we examine the ongoings in Belarus and the likely fate of Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko. Also up for discussion, changes to European security caused by the recent decision of President Trump to relocate US forces from Germany to Poland. And finally, Europe’s southeast in the Eastern Mediterranean, tensions rise between NATO members and long-time regional rivals Turkey and Greece, making Europe a fascinating hot topic at the moment. Our virtual studio is hosted by John Bruni, Co-Hosted by David Olney, and joined by our regular guest CDRE Pat Tyrrell from Cornwall in the United Kingdom. Producer Tim Whiffen was unable to make the discussion so John recorded this one. Well done John! This week's musical interlude comes courtesy of Lucas Day, check them out on Facebook, Spotify and Apple Music. Support the show: https://www.sageinternational.org.au/strategikon-merch/ See omnystudio.com/policies/listener for privacy information.

STRATEGIKON

Europe - Edgy in the East feat. CDRE Patrick J. Tyrrell OBE RN (Ret’d)

It is a scary world out there in the cyber-universe, and while we have covered many of the public sector concerns from a political level, what are the threats facing every Australian from citizens to business owners? Cynch Security is a cybersecurity service for small business, and are at the forefront of the cyber-fitness, or indeed, lack thereof in the Australian community. Joining John, David, and Tim on STRATEGIKON to discuss the practical and real circumstances facing every Australian at the cyber front is Susie and Tim of Cynch Security. Susie, the CEO of Cynch, and Adam, the Chief Technological Officer, are leading experts in the field of cybersecurity with years in experience with a variety of public and private entities of diverse size. This episode of STRATEGIKON makes it abundantly clear just how at risk we are, and yet, provides some pragmatic discourse toward a more secure future in the virtual spaces we create. Learn more about Cynch Security, their work in communicating the importance of these issues, and their services here. Support the show: https://www.sageinternational.org.au/strategikon-merch/

Australian Cyber Security - Story from the Trenches feat. Cynch Security

Part 2 of a two-part discussion: On June 19th Scott Morrison, Prime Minister of Australia announced that many public services were experiencing a hack from a 'state player' without giving any details as to who it may have been behind the attack. With many commentators speculating that China may be behind the attack and with their history of these tactics of information gathering it is a very real example of the new state of play for international security. Between the anti-Chinese sentiment in the public Australian sphere, and the hesitance for the Australian Government to decouple their dependence from China there is a lot to consider. Joining the STRATEGIKON team are a few faces the audience will be familiar with in discussing some answers to many questions the public will have for these attacks. One thing is for certain, we need a change of language to discuss these ideas to avoid conflating cyber with kinetic warfare. This double episode features Pete Warren Editor of Future Intelligence and Chair of the Cyber Security Research Institute; CDRE Patrick J. Tyrrell OBE RN (Ret’d) SIA Senior Non-resident Fellow Global and Maritime Security & Prof. Andrew Jones, Visiting Professor of Cyber Security, University of Suffolk. Support the show: https://www.sageinternational.org.au/strategikon-merch/

Politics by Other Means Pt 2 - China’s June Cyber-Attack on Australia and the Global Implications of this New Style of Conflict

Part 1 of a two part discussion: On June 19th Scott Morrison, Prime Minister of Australia announced that many public services were experiencing a hack from a 'state player' without giving any details as to who it may have been behind the attack. With many commentators speculating that China may be behind the attack and with their history of these tactics of information gathering it is a very real example of the new state of play for international security. Between the anti-Chinese sentiment in the public Australian sphere, and the hesitance for the Australian Government to decouple their dependence from China there is a lot to consider. Joining the STRATEGIKON team are a few faces the audience will be familiar with in discussing some answers to many questions the public will have for these attacks. One thing is for certain, we need a change of language to discuss these ideas to avoid conflating cyber with kinetic warfare. This double episode features Pete Warren Editor of Future Intelligence and Chair of the Cyber Security Research Institute; CDRE Patrick J. Tyrrell OBE RN (Ret’d) SIA Senior Non-resident Fellow Global and Maritime Security & Prof. Andrew Jones, Visiting Professor of Cyber Security, University of Suffolk. Support the show: https://www.sageinternational.org.au/strategikon-merch/

Politics by Other Means Pt 1 - China’s June Cyber-Attack on Australia and the Global Implications of this New Style of Conflict

Whether you're opposed to phrases like the 'new normal', or you're optimistic about how the world will look after COVID-19, the world is going to be very different, at least for a while. Of particular interest is the shifting in tensions in the strategy and international relations world, which has been affected perhaps more than any other academic field as borders are closed and blame is thrown for lives and investments lost. Though COVID-19 is getting mainstream attention in almost every conceivable way, the international community is in need of more attention. In this episode of STRATEGIKON, we’ll be trying something a little risky technologically, we have guests from the United Kingdom, Dubai in the United Arab Emirates, Canberra, and we're still recording from Adelaide, Australia. We have experts in European International Relations and security, Australian security, the Horn of Africa, Ethiopian politics. and a former Australian Army Special Forces Brigadier. So, we’ll have quite a bit of security heft on hand to tackle today’s topic which is – COVID19’s transformation of the international security order. Joining us will be David Khandan; Austability Executive Director Strategy & Relationships, Sandy Wade; Austability Regional Strategic Advisor Horn of Africa, Don Randall Ambassador at Austability & Brigadier Mark Smethurst DSC, AM (Retd) Austability Strategy Advisor Asia Pacific Region. Support the show.

COVID-19 - Transformation of the International Security Order feat. David Khandan, Sandy Wade, Don Randall, & Mark Smethurst

The international price of oil is now in negative territory and having an immensurate impact on the world, but especially in the Middle East where oil is the foundation of many sovereign states. The duel economic blows of the COVID-19 crisis and the oil price wars are forcibly dragging Gulf states backward, particularly affecting the burgeoning middle classes. If these issues are not dealt with adequately, questions could be raised about the capability of several authoritarian states in the region and force further unrest in an already tense area of the world. Joining us from the United States to discuss these issues is Dr. Imad Harb, SIA’s Senior Non-Resident Fellow Greater Middle East & Director of Research and Analysis at the Arab Center Washington DC. Imad makes reference to this article about the Arab social upheaval. Support the show.

The Collapsed Oil Price - Unleashing the Genie in the Middle East? feat. Dr. Imad Harb

In this episode, John, David and Tim are joined by Senator Jim Molan AO DSC. Jim is a former Australian Army Major-General and is now a high profile Senator for the Liberal-National Coalition known for his public interest in Australia’s strategic policy. We begin this episode by asking Jim about his military experience and his opinions on some of the pressing issues facing Australia in the near-term. Support the show.

An interview with Senator Jim Molan AO DSC - Australia’s Strategic Policy Challenges & Opportunities

While the COVID-19 Pandemic is ravaging the economies and societies of nations worldwide, Asia seems to have a large diversity of responses and impacts. What cultural and political settings have changed how the pandemic his hit each country, and how will this impact the region more broadly into the future. This is the first episode of two that examines a few key players in the Asian region to understand what factors change the social, economic, and diplomatic, consequences such a crisis can have. To help explain these issues Prof. Purnendra Jain, a member of the SIA Advisory Board and SIA's Head of Research & Academic Development, joins us in via Zoom to tackle Japan, Indonesia, Philippines, South Korea, and North Korea in the second half of the conversation. This week's music comes courtesy of Leaf and Stem, check them out on Facebook, Spotify, and iTunes. Support the show.

Corona All Over Pt. 2 - An In-depth Analysis of the Broader Asian Responses and Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic feat. Purnedra Jain

While the COVID-19 Pandemic is ravaging the economies and societies of nations worldwide, Asia seems to have a large diversity of responses and impacts. What cultural and political settings have changed how the pandemic his hit each country, and how will this impact the region more broadly into the future. This is the first episode of two that examines a few key players in the Asian region to understand what factors change the social, economic, and diplomatic, consequences such a crisis can have. To help explain these issues Prof. Purnendra Jain, a member of the SIA Advisory Board and SIA's Head of Research & Academic Development, joins us in via Zoom to tackle China, Taiwan, and India in the first half of the conversation. This week's Local Music thanks to SODA with "Slow March" Check them out at Spotify & Facebook. Support the show.

Corona All Over Pt. 1 - An In-depth Analysis of the Broader Asian Responses and Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic feat. Purnedra Jain

What are the minimum essential skills, technology, manufacturing, real resources and infrastructure within any country to enable them to sufficiently survive global pandemic or equivalent crises? On today’s episode, John and David co-isolate before the restrictions would have disallowed to discuss the missing part of public discourse on COVID-19 - Sovereign capability. Australia is particularly exposed to dependency on trade with other countries who provide many of these capabilities and this has caused a shockwave of realisation in the political sphere. What lessons are to be learned from this global pandemic and will we do anything to learn from them? These are the questions missing from mainstream media dialogue and John and David seek to answer them with a particular focus on economics and strategy.  This episode's musical interlude: Hartway with "Better". Support them on Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, and Spotify. Support the show.

Sovereign Capability - Lessons to learn from COVID-19

The Idlib balance of power is threatened as the last rebellion holdout in Syria by threatened by conflicting and complex interests. There is a current cease-fire, but as the "Battle for Idlib" is the last stand against the Syrian regime's sovereignty, it seems only a matter of time until violence breaks out once again. This an extraordinary Civil war that has attracted the strategic and tactical interests of Ian, Turkey, and Russia, bringing the conflict to the attention of NATO and other European multilateral alliances. With so much tension spread so far wide, the question really is, when will the cease-fire collapse. and who stands to benefit from what outcomes may eventuate? To discuss these issues, we’ll be joined today by SAGE International Australia’s Dr. Imad Harb. Dr Harb is the Director of Research and Analysis at the Arab Center Washington DC. He is also Senior Non-Resident Fellow Greater Middle East for SAGE International Australia (SIA) as well as Member of the SIA Advisory Board. Dr Harb often commentates on Middle Eastern issues for the US and international media.Please direct any feedback you may have to the SIA website, we look forward to hearing from you!Support the show.

Idlib - Multiple Affairs in the Badlands Feat. Dr. Imad Harb

This episode is a conversation with Dr. John Bruni, David Olney, and Tim Whiffen concerning John and David's latest trip to Canberra. The report John and David must produce for the DoD has lead to many meetings with large and small states who either give or receive foreign aid. The implications from the different perspectives on aid gives a fairly dire diagnosis of the Australian approach to soft power. These observations include some ideas that for the sake of Chatham House Rules cannot be attributed to specific persons and the ensuing discussion considers the ideas and not necessarily those who hold them.Support the show.

Indo-Pacific II: Thoughts and Observations

This episode is a conversation with Prof. Purnendra Jain, a member of the SIA Advisory Board and SIA's Head of Research & Academic Development about his research trip to India. The report John and David must produce for the DoD is in collaboration with Purnendra and his trip included meeting with staff from the Institue for Defense Studies and Analysis, an Indian Think Tank, and attendance at the Raisina Dialogue. These observations include some ideas that for the sake of Chatham House Rules cannot be attributed to specific persons and the ensuing discussion considers the ideas and not necessarily those who hold them. This episode's musical interlude: Mum Thinks Blue with Gotten Away. Support them on Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, and Spotify.Support the show.

2020 Raisina Dialogue - Purnendra Jain's observations and discussions with the IDSA in India

Boris Johnson has won a landslide election proving the British people want Brexit and want a hardline, perhaps conservative approach to the deals yet to be made. Boris has many decisions to make and a lot of Britains future is uncertain with new alliances and old tensions brewing in the liberation of British people from the political and economic bureaucracy of the European Union.To talk to us about this, in a general discussion, is Commodore Pat Tyrrell OBE RN (Retd), Pat is Chair of the SIA Advisory Board, Senior Non-Resident Fellow Global & Maritime Security.CDRE Tyrrell is Director of Vale Atlantic Associates which specializes in the provision of high-level, strategic consultancy in several fields including cyber warfare, security, intelligence analysis as well as current research in technologies applicable to defence and the intelligence world. He holds the Order of the British Empire, a Master of Arts degree in Chemistry and a Bachelor of Laws.This week's music comes courtesy of Flat Moon Society, check them out on Facebook, Spotify, and iTunes.Support the show.

Boris’ Brexit Breakthrough - STRATEGIKON

Qasem Soleimani was brazenly assassinated by the Trump administration on January 3rd, 2020. Iran responded with missile strikes on military bases in Iraq with no American casualties. Australia and the UK are wondering what its future is in Iraq and what will happen next. To talk to us about this, in a general discussion, is Commodore Pat Tyrrell OBE RN (Retd), Pat is Chair of the SIA Advisory Board, Senior Non-Resident Fellow Global & Maritime Security.CDRE Tyrrell is Director of Vale Atlantic Associates which specializes in the provision of high-level, strategic consultancy in several fields including cyber warfare, security, intelligence analysis as well as current research in technologies applicable to defence and the intelligence world. He holds the Order of the British Empire, a Master of Arts degree in Chemistry and a Bachelor of Laws.This week's music comes courtesy of Big Uncle Love Bus, check them out on Facebook, Spotify, and Apple Music.Support the show.

Target: Soleimani - STRATEGIKON

Dr. John Bruni is Founder and CEO of SAGE International Australia (SIA), an Adelaide-based private think tank specialising in the analysis of foreign policy, international and national security issues in Australia's 'defence state' of South Australia (SA). Est. in 2008, and partners of the Swiss Centre for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich, we are the only institution of its type in SA and STRATEGIKON, created in 2016, is the podcast of SIA.

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STRATEGIKON

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