Katie Jenkins "An Integrated Approach to Modelling the Direct and Indirect Impacts of Heatwaves in London"

Share:

Listens: 0

Martin Centre Research Seminar Series

Miscellaneous


Abstract: Heatwaves are associated with large impacts on human health and mortality, as well as having economic repercussions. The direct impacts of heatwaves can subsequently affect the flow of goods and services through extensive and complex linkages in the economic system, as well as indirectly affecting society, in the short to medium term. The propagation and amplification of direct impacts within cities can be large, with the potential for impacts to extend far beyond the temporal and spatial extent of the original event. Urban areas are especially at risk of negative impacts of climate change due to their high concentrations of people and assets. As part of the ARCADIA project (Adaptation and Resilience in Cities: Analysis and Decision Making using Integrated Assessment), an Urban Integrated Assessment Facility is being developed that enables exploration of a wide range of scenarios and their implications, focusing on Greater London and the surrounding region. This framework has been applied to heatwaves and a methodology has been developed to assess the direct impacts on society and on the economy as well as subsequent indirect impacts on supply and demand, and labour resources. Biography: Katie Jenkins is a researcher at the Environmental Change Institute, working within the major consortium project ARCADIA. Before working in Oxford, Katie was a PhD student at the University of Cambridge modelling the economic and social impacts of drought events under future projections of climate change. Prior to this Katie worked at the University of Cambridge at 4CMR (The Cambridge Centre for Climate Change Mitigation Research), as a Research Assistant and Deputy Centre Manager. Her main research interests include modelling direct and indirect economic impacts of climate change, with particular regard to extreme weather events, and assessing consequences for adaptation and mitigation strategies from an interdisciplinary perspective.