While technology might be just the sum of science and industry, for China it is a pillar of its geopolitical ambition. In this last episode of our miniseries on China, Alice Ekman and Florence Gaub dig deeper into the role of technology in China’s pursuit of power, and take stock of where we are at – and where we are going.

What if - The EUISS Foresight Podcast

What if…China rode the techno-ticket to power?

As China gains more and more influence on the global stage, the big question is what it intends to achieve with this new status. In this second episode of our miniseries on China, Alice Ekman and Florence Gaub discuss how China has moved from quietist diplomacy to expansive geopolitical ambition, and what this could mean for the rest of the world.

What if…China wants to be a superpower?

China not only has a vision for a different world order, it also has a vision for deploying different diplomatic practices. In this first episode of our mini-series on China, EUISS Senior Analyst Alice Ekman discusses the distinctive methods of Chinese diplomacy with Deputy Director Florence Gaub, explains why these are a challenge for the EU, and how it should respond.

What if…China’s diplomacy is more predictable than we think?

The pandemic has hit the United States harder than any other country; and Americans are scheduled to go to the polls in November. Will the coronavirus lead to a postponement of the elections? And in that case what will happen? Will the virus swing the election in favour of either candidate? EUISS Senior Associate Analyst Simona Soare discusses this and more with Florence Gaub in this last instalment of the Covid-19 podcast season.

What if...Covid-19 impacted the US presidential elections?

Projections show a possible death toll of more than 3 million for Africa, but what if these calculations turn out to be wrong? EUISS Senior Analyst Giovanni Faleg discusses with Florence Gaub whether we can expect lower fatality rates, what this could mean for the continent, and what needs to be done urgently.

What if...Africa was immune to Covid-19?

Currently 43 states in the world are experiencing ongoing conflicts. What impact will the Covid-19 pandemic have on these conflicts? Will they escalate, or is there perhaps an opportunity for peace? EUISS Senior Associate Analyst Katariina Mustasilta discusses with Florence Gaub how conflict research sheds light on the link between discontent and crisis.

What if...Covid-19 leads to an escalation of conflicts?

Russia initially seemed to be doing better than other states when it came to the pandemic, but it has since emerged that the truth is far from what the Kremlin projected. How is Putin managing Covid-19? What do Russians think about it – and what does it mean for Putin's future projects? EUISS Senior Associate Analyst Sinikukka Saari explains it all to Florence Gaub in this episode.

What if...Putin mismanages Covid-19?

In this episode, EUISS senior analyst Stanislav Secrieru discusses with Florence Gaub what economic impact Covid-19 will have on three Eastern neighbourhood states. Will the flow of remittances cease altogether? How will people and states cope? And what can we do about it?

What if...Covid-19 leads to a decline in remittances to Georgia, Ukraine & Moldova?

In this episode, EUISS senior analyst Alice Ekman discusses with Florence Gaub how China has not just survived the pandemic crisis but is in fact thriving on it. From the Belt and Road Initiative to its vision for the world in 2050, Beijing is making the most of a crisis other countries are barely managing to cope with - or is it?

What if...China uses the coronavirus crisis to promote its world vision?

In this episode, EUISS associate analyst Nathalie van Raemdonck discusses a counterfactual 'What if ...?' scenario with Florence Gaub: a COVID-19 pandemic without the internet. From crisis management to problem-solving: would it have been easier, harder, or just noisier?

What if...the internet didn't exist during a pandemic?

In this episode, Russia and China join forces to enforce their approach to the internet – with far-reaching geopolitical consequences that go well beyond cyberspace. What appears to be a technical and legal battle is in reality a contest of global world orders. Alice Ekman and Patryk Pawlak, both EUISS analysts, discuss with Florence Gaub why this scenario is already in the making – and what can be done about it.

What if…China and Russia partner up in cyberspace?

In this episode, things come to a head in the Sea of Azov: Russia seizes two fishing vessels, killing one of the captains, and triggers a wave of demonstrations in Ukraine. The EU is called on to respond and show support for Ukraine, including by deploying an international maritime mission. Stanislav Secrieru and Clara Portela, both EUISS analysts, discuss here with Florence Gaub why this scenario is already in the making – and what it could mean for us.

What if…Russia clashes with Ukraine in the Sea of Agov?

In this episode, Simona Soare and Florence Gaub examine three different scenarios that could be in store for us come January 2021: what would it mean for the Middle East if Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden or Donald Trump are elected next president of the United States? More conflict, more disengagement – or just the opposite? And what are the implications of the three alternate scenarios for Europe?

What if…what the Middle East can expect of the next US President

In this episode, things turn violent for an EU electoral observer mission in Gambola. Five of its staff are killed in an ambush, with evidence that a Russian private military company was involved. Russia and the EU are now mired in a standoff in Africa over elections, disinformation and, for the first time, European casualties. Giovanni Faleg and Sinikukka Saari, both analysts at the EUISS, discuss with Florence Gaub why this scenario is becoming increasingly likely – and what can be done about it.

What if...Russia and Europe clashed in Africa?

The EUISS' ‘What if’ podcast is a foreign policy foresight conversation: it looks at fictional scenarios that could happen between now and the end of 2021, discussing questions like: under what circumstances could this come about? What would it mean? Can we prevent it, or how would we have to respond to it? And lastly: how likely is it?

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What if - The EUISS Foresight Podcast

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